Conservative Home – First globalisation, now fragmentation. Here’s what it means for the world’s economy and ours
This article was first published on Conservative Home - 24th January 2023 Fragmentation and polycrisis are two of the new buzzwords of global economics. Polycrisis is just another way of saying that we have a lot of problems hitting at the same time. Namely the climate crisis, the global financial...
Podcast: Episode 5 – What The H£ll Is Economics? Why I can’t I buy a house? What The H£ll is a Smart City?
Elf asks Gerard 'What is a smart city? And if there are smart cities, does that mean there are silly cities?' Gerard talks about the technology that's changing urban centres and what we can expect from cities in the future… https://open.spotify.com/episode/2YwfK6oKMobfKPzyxNdLZ4
Sky News Ian King Live interview
It was good to be back on Ian King Live discussing the UK's latest GDP figures. While the economy avoided a technical recession at the end of 2022, it is still weak and the picture varies considerably with construction solid, services recovering but manufacturing weak. With the economy slowing,...
Conservative Home op-ed: The economy in 2023: the good, the bad and the uncertain
This piece first appeared on Conservative Home - 10th January 2023 The good, the bad and the uncertain is how I describe this year’s likely economic outlook. The good is that inflation is likely to fall significantly. The bad is that growth will be weak, with the economy in recession during the...
FT – Annual UK economists’ survey
Here are my answers to this year's survey, which can also be accessed here. UK economy: Will the UK economy outpace or lag behind other developed economies in 2023 and how will it feel for households? I don’t expect the UK to either outperform or lag other major western countries over the next...
Podcast: Episode 4 – What The H£ll Is Economics? Why I can’t I buy a house?
Elf asks Gerard why she can't buy a house… and is it possible to live in a parking space? From growing populations, rising property prices and the changing landscape of HOW we live now, Elf and Gerard try to work out what the future is for wannabe home owners across the UK....
Bloomberg ‘In the City’ podcast – How Brexit Can Boost the City, But Maybe Not Your Portfolio
It was good to speak again with Francine Lacqua and David Merritt about the City, financial regulation, monetary policy and the Bank of England. Listen to it here.
Netwealth op-ed: The good news is inflation should fall, but it is still unclear where it will settle
This piece first appeared on Netwealth - 09th December 2022 As we look towards 2023 it already looks set to be the year of the good, the bad and the uncertain. The good being that inflation will decelerate. The bad being that growth will weaken, with recession set to hit a host of countries...
BBC podcast – Liz Truss’s big gamble
It was good to speak to the BBC's Nick Robinson about my warnings to Liz Truss ahead of the mini-Budget. Listen to the podcast here and read this piece, which outlines some of what I say in the programme.
Conservative Home op-ed – Is inflation really set to come tumbling down?
This article was first published on Conservative Home - 29 November 2022 The cost of living crisis is central to the current economic and political debate. At its core is the rampant pace of inflation. It has also exposed sluggish wage growth, which is not keeping pace with it. This is a common...